i hope he's right

I know. I'm obsessed. Like a dog with a fresh pile of horse manure. Or a box of freshly used kitty litter. Lately, the political blogs I read have garnered a lot more of my attention than they did even a month ago. One of them is The Plank, a blog published by The New Republic which had this to say about Obama's chances of beating McCain:

Real Clear Politics has a handy page displaying all the Obama-McCain and Clinton-McCain polls. In the past two weeks, seven different organizations have polled the races and on average Obama beats McCain by 3.2%, while Clinton loses to the Arizona senator by 2%. Not a single polls has Clinton doing as well as Obama. Normally this wouldn't be such a big deal--after all, most people don't obsessively read polling data. But this year's race might be different. If, as seems increasingly likely, the Democratic nomination drags on all the way to the convention, it's imperative that Clinton close the gap with Obama. Think of it like this: you are a superdelegate or party boss. You have been undecided but now must choose between two candidates with roughly equal numbers of delegates. Most of all, you want to win in November, which is now only three months away. And while one of your two choices is consistently beating the Republican nominee in polls, the other is consistently losing. It's not hard to imagine that many of these people will be swayed by the data above.

--Isaac Chotiner

But while the media tend to put a lot of faith in polling data, it seems, to me at least, that it's quite often skewed by the pollsters. So there's no telling if this has any reliability or not.

The whole idea of 'super delegates' really pisses me off. These people were not chosen by us. They were chosen by the Party. To me, it epitomizes every single thing I hate about our political system. The two parties, and only two parties—because no one else can afford to run. The electoral college—where it's quite possible that the person who receives the most votes, doesn't win the nomination. Campaign financing—candidates are 'chosen' by large corporations and lobbyists because this is where the most money comes from. Our system is in desperate need of an overhaul. But, where to start? I say get rid of the f'ing super delegates and this spurious 'quota' of votes. How 'bout the person with the most actual votes, wins? No matter what the number is.

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